Predicting the A.I. winter is like predicting a stock market crash – impossible to tell precisely when it happens, but almost certain that it will at some point.

..the papers are becoming less “revolutionary” and much more “evolutionary”.

Deepmind hasn’t shown anything breathtaking since their Alpha Go zero. OpenAI was rather quiet, with their last media outburst being the Dota 2 playing agent [which I suppose was meant to create as much buzz as Alpha Go, but fizzled out rather quickly].

How “deep” will that winter be? I have no idea. What will come next? I have no idea. But I’m pretty positive it is coming, perhaps sooner rather than later.